German Weekend

[chriscol]

Big day in 2.Bundesliga today

FRIDAY:

Ahlen- Burghausen: Over 2.5,3 goals @ 2.08

Essen- Köln: Over 2.5,3 goals @ 1.885 !! 2 units!!
Essen got the worst defense in league but is also high scoring on offense at home. Köln is struggeling on defense at the moment,but alway capable to cover the total on their own.
Essen player's already made comment, that despite recent problems on defense, they will not focus on that part of the game as they have not the quality- players to do that. They are going especially at home for an offensive tactic, which should also lead to lots of Köln counter-attacks (their most dangerous part)...

Fürth- Frankfurt: Fürth pk,-0.5 @ 1.70

München- Karlsruhe: München -1,-0.5 1.877

München coming of big away win in Frankfurt needs to keep it up at home over lowly Karlsruhe (especially weak away) to get back in contention for top spots.

I'am strongly looking at Köln -0.5 @ 2.16 as essen should exact fit into köln's game plan..but i am still waiting to pull the trigger.

REGIONALLIGA SÜD:

Siegen- Regensburg: Siegen to win @ 1.862
Top team in league on a hot streak

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

too much value and i like the match-up, although it'S dangerous with essen at home:

ESSEN- KÖLN: Köln -0.5 @ 2.16

 

[GreenDoberman]

nice call on the over in the Essen game, although it took an 88th and 90th minute goal to good there. WTG!:aktion033

 

[chriscol]

Rec so far this Season after friday'S games (pushes recorded as no plays)

1.Bundesliga 21-15 +2.624 units
2.Bundesliga 9-9 -1.982 units
Regionalliga 10-15 -5.125 units

Total 39-39 -4.483 units


SATURDAY:
Big line moves due to injuries, but some books did not have adjusted yet. Pinnacle is already moved in right direction, therefore most of my lines are Intertops.

Kaiserslautern- Leverkusen: Leverkusen pk @ 1.82
i simply like leverkusen, although they have not won away so far it will come soon and today is a good spot. Lautern in big trouble right now sitting in bottom and this looks like the last game for their coach.leverkusen got a tradition to perform well in Lautern, so pk is a good bet. Pinny has moved to pk,-0.5..that'S a maybe for me,cause it could end in a draw.

Bremen- Nürnberg: Bremen -1 @ 1.84 and over 3 goals @ 1.901

Bremen coming of big win in anderlecht has to win here to keep pace with the leaders. Nürnberg got big injury problems on defense. All 4 regular defensive players are out.
Even without the injuries this should be high-scoring: Bremen's 4 home games avarage 2.5 goal total , Nürnberg's away games 4.75 total !!
Bremen will get their goals against unexperienced nürnberg defense and i cant see nürnberg playing too defensive, cause they will have no chance if not scoring on their own. this will be an entertaining offensive game.

Rostock- München: Rostock +0.5,+1 @ 1.86

i know this looks like the wrong side,BUT... Although rostock is winless at home so far they are unbeaten away this season, which shows their potential. München is struggeling in league right now and is in a must-win situation. Latest news this morning are that Deissler, Ballack, Ze Roberto and Luzio are all out..not travelling to Rostock. That gives me value with the rostock line. i dont see a blowout here as rostock will be highly motivated against bayern and the bayern site is just not good enough. they possibly hang on for a tough win,but -0.75 is too much. Pinny already is down to -0.5,cause of the injuries..that's not good value..try too get the 0.5,1

 

[chriscol]

Wolfsburg- Bochum: Wolfsburg -0.5,-1 @ 1.83

Line move here (pinny at -1) but no reason. Wolfsburg strong at home should bounce back against big time struggeling Bochum. Even the -1 is a good play IMO.

Bielefeld- Berlin: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.91

I love playing Bielefeld under in home games (already two winners this season). Stats are easy: Bielefeld home games avarage 1.75 goals total, Berlin away games avarage 1.75 goals total. I cant see 3 goals here today.

Gladbach - Hannover: Hannover +0.5 @ 1.90

Another injury/suspension line move (pinny already to pk,+0.5)
The league suspended on thursday Gladbach'S top striker neuville for unsportsmenlike behaviour for 2 games. He scored a crucial goal with the hand in last week's gladbach winner. Neuville has scored 9 of 11 Gladbach goals this season. I have no idea at all who should score now for Gladbach..any ideas are welcome.
Hannover meanwhile is playing really solid football the last 4 weeks, coming of a big 3-0 home win over league leader Wolfsburg. They should be confident enough to get a point here anyway, but the suspension should them even give a chance of a win.

BOL to all

 

[chriscol]

I almost forgot the regionalliga:

Regionalliga Nord:

Düsseldorf- Bielefeld: Düsseldorf @ 1.758

Better team at home

Uerdingen- Kiel: Uerdingen to win @ 1.90

League leader at home and red hot.

BOL to all <!-- THE POST -->

 

[EROL1]

SV Werder Bremen – Nürnberg<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> Over 1.5 @ 1.50 Fonbet <o></o>

Werder <st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> is currently in a fine form. They won in the Champions League by midweek in <st1lace>Anderlecht</st1lace> 2:1. Nuernberg had a good start into the new German Bundesliga Season but I think all previous opponents underestimated Nuernberg. But <st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> is really strong at home and I think the prices for a victory of Werder <st1:State><st1lace>Bremen</st1lace></st1:State> are a nice gift. And I am sure that they will score at least two goals against Nuernberg. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Wolfsburg</st1lace></st1:City> – <st1:City><st1lace>Bochum</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

Over 2.5 @ 1.60

<st1:City><st1lace>Wolfsburg</st1lace></st1:City> and VfL Bochum are normally really good offense-teams. But <st1:City><st1lace>Wolfsburg</st1lace></st1:City> lost last weekend in <st1lace>Hannover</st1lace> 0-3 and VfL Bochum is at the moment in a crisis. But I think the match have a highly potential for at least three goals. <st1:City><st1lace>Wolfsburg</st1lace></st1:City> playing very offensively at home and the defense of <st1:City><st1lace>Bochum</st1lace></st1:City> is currently wobbly. Wolfsburg have a goal-record of 7-3 in four games at home and Bochum have on road a goal-record of 7:7. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Bielefeld – Hertha BSC<o></o>

Bielefeld Under 1.5 @ 1.65

I was really amazed about the great price for the below mentioned bet that <st1:City><st1lace>Bielefeld</st1lace></st1:City> will not score than one goal against Hertha BSC Berlin. <st1:City><st1lace>Bielefeld</st1lace></st1:City> scored in 8 games 7 goals. At home <st1:City><st1lace>Bielefeld</st1lace></st1:City> scored only 2 goals in 4 games. Hertha have a road-record of <st1:date Month="2" Day="1" Year="2001">1-2-1</st1:date> and 4:3 goals. So you see that the price for the bet is really good and I am sure that <st1:City><st1lace>Bielefeld</st1lace></st1:City> will not score more than one goal they have an under-average-offense in the German Bundesliga. <o></o>

 

[EROL1]

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1:City><st1lace>Dortmund</st1lace></st1:City> – <st1:State><st1lace>Hamburg</st1lace></st1:State><?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

Over 3 @ 2.0 Fonbet<o></o>

I think this match between Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV have a great potential that in the game will be at least 3 goals. Borussia Dortmund have at home a record of 0-3-1 and 6:7 goals. Hamburger SV have on road a record 0-0-4 and 2:9 goals. Both teams have normally good offense and not the best defenses. So I think we will a lot of goals. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Hansa Rostock – Bayern Munich<o></o>

Hansa Under 1.5 @ 1.37

Hansa Rostock is the worst home team in the German Bundesliga. They have a record of <st1:time Hour="4" Minute="12">4:12</st1:time> goals and 0-0-4. Bayern Munich have on road a record of 7:7 and <st1:date Month="1" Day="2" Year="2001">2-1-1</st1:date>. I am sure that Hansa Rostock will not score more than one goal against the Championship-favourite Bayern Munich. They have a really poor offense. <o></o>

<o> </o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Kaiserslautern</st1lace></st1:City> – <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City><o></o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> Over 1.5 @ 2.20 F

<st1:City><st1lace>Kaiserslautern</st1lace></st1:City> have at home a record 1-0-3 and 5:9 goals. <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> won by midweek in a good game 3:1 against AS Roma in the Uefa- Championsleague. On road is <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> not really good and they have a record of 0-1-3 and <st1:time Hour="3" Minute="10">3:10</st1:time> but I think for this price I will try this bet. <st1:City><st1lace>Kaiserslautern</st1lace></st1:City> have a poor defense and <st1:City><st1lace>Leverkusen</st1lace></st1:City> is on fire. <o></o>

<o> </o>

Gladbach– Hannover<o></o>

Both teams to score @ 1.55

Gladbach and <st1lace>Hannover</st1lace> have both good offense and not the best defenses – so a very good premise for a match with some goals. Gladbach have a record of <st1:date Month="3" Day="2" Year="2003">2-3-3</st1:date> and 13-12 and the opponent today Hannover 96 have a record of <st1:date Month="2" Day="3" Year="2003">3-2-3</st1:date> and <st1:time Hour="11" Minute="10">11:10</st1:time> goals. So I think both teams will be score today. They have good forwarders and not the best defenses. <o></o>

:think:

 

[chriscol]

Best day in the season so far yesterday going 7-1.

Sunday:

1. Bundesliga

Freiburg- Stuttgart: Stuttgart -0.5 @ 1.72

Mismatch here.Freiburg this year not as strong at home as they are traditionally playing awful right now. Stuttgart on a hot run.


BTW: I like Schalke over Mainz straight up, but -1 is the right line. Therefore no play on the hdc.

2. Bundesliga:

Oberhausen- Dresden: Oberhausen -0.5 @ 2.16

Two bottom teams here, but oberhausen is coming of its first home win and a solid efford (although unlucky loss) in Köln. They should get the home win over especially away weak Dresden.

Aue- Duisburg : Under 2.5,3 goals @ 1.813

Aue's home games avarage under 2 goals total as well as Duisburg'S away games...overall both teams are very solid defensively and dont usually play blow out games..that could very well be a 0-0 draw.

BOL to all

 

[EROL1]

Freiburg - Stuttgart

Stuttgart Over 1.5 @ 1.75 Fonbet

<?xml:namespace prefix = st1 ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comffice:smarttags" /><st1lace>Freiburg</st1lace> is currently in a bad form. They lost three games in the Bundesliga in a row. VfB Stuttgart is one of the favourites to win the Championsship in the German Bundesliga and they are playing currently fantanastic football - they have a great offense with excellent forwarders and nice defense with a very good goalie. I am sure that they are able to score at least two goals against <st1lace>Freiburg</st1lace> in the south-derby. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-comfficeffice" /><o></o>

<o> </o>

Schalke - <st1:City><st1lace>Mainz</st1lace></st1:City> 05<o></o>

<st1:City><st1lace>Mainz</st1lace></st1:City> to score @ 1.45 <o></o>

Schalke made an average game by midweek in the Uefa-Cup against the Swiss-Club FC Basel. And <st1:City><st1lace>Mainz</st1lace></st1:City> is the surprising team this year in the Bundesliga and Schalke have not the best defense and I think they are able to score again one goal. <o></o>

 

[jwunderdog]

Nice bounce- back weekend Chris.